For François Lenglet, "the war in Ukraine is the fall of the Wall in reverse, it is the restoration of the Iron Curtain".
La souveraineté revient au détriment de la mondialisation 03:46 La souveraineté revient au détriment de la mondialisation 03:46While Joe Biden declares an embargo on Russian oil, it is so much to return to a classic. It is a booklet called "the Economic consequences of Peace", written in 1930 by the great British economist Keynes. Keynes recounts the life of an Englishman in 1913, just before the First World War. I read it to you: "an inhabitant of London, while tasting his morning tea, could order, by telephone, the various products of all the earth, in such a quantity as was suited to him, and expect them to be deposited at his door.
"he could, at the same time and by the same means, risk his good in the natural resources and new enterprises of any part of the world; he could, at once, if he wished, secure comfortable and cheap means of going to any country or region; he would have considered himself greatly offended and would have been greatly surprised at the slightest obstacle; but, above all, he considered this to be normal, fixed, and permanent."
1913, it was, of course, a few months before the outbreak of the Great War, which would profoundly and sustainably destroy these freedoms to travel, invest and trade. That would shatter globalization. Well, we're probably in the same blindness today as the Londoner described by Keynes.
Frankly, no one knows. But globalization is shattering. Let's just take two news stories from yesterday. Joe Biden, the American President, decreed the embargo on Russian oil, creating strong pressure on Europe to do the same. These vital energy flows from the Urals and Siberia, which we considered permanent, are on the verge of being cut off.
À écouter aussiHors Série : Lenglet-Co : Vrai Faux de l'écoSaison 3 - 27. Comment la guerre en Ukraine oblige l'Allemagne a revoir sa politique- 10m59sJust yesterday, a ton of nickel reached $100,000, five times more than a year ago, because of the fear that supplies would be interrupted by the war in Ukraine. Oil, gas and raw materials, once commonplace products, are becoming strategic again, their new rarity points to our dependence in Europe. Not long ago, we were missing the electronic components.
Two years ago, at the beginning of the epidemic, masks and pharmaceuticals. Tomorrow it'll be electricity, titanium, lithium. On all sides, our supplies are under threat, our sovereignty is being undermined.
Let's say naivety was not a problem in a world without major conflict and polarized by the American hyperpower. Basically since the fall of the Wall. Because globalization was working at full speed, and it was possible to see everything we wanted delivered on our doorstep.
It's over. It's over. The war in Ukraine is the fall of the Wall in reverse, it is the restoration of the Iron Curtain. The same phenomenon is happening between China and America, which are in the process of de-incarceration. Between Turkey and Europe. It's the return of empires.
Probablement. Et l’épidémie et la guerre rompent les chaînes d’approvisionnement intercontinentales, qui vont se reconstituer sur des bases régionales. Car la sécurité va avec la proximité. C’est la revanche de la géographie sur l’économie.
Tous les pays européens travaillent aujourd’hui d’arrache-pied à reconstituer leur indépendance énergétique. Bruxelles a mobilisé des milliards pour produire des vaccins et des semi-conducteurs. La souveraineté économique, c’est la question des prochaines années, qui va surplomber toutes les autres.
Afin d'assurer la sécurité et la qualité de ce site, nous vousdemandons de vous identifier pour laisser vos commentaires.
Cette inscription sera valable sur le site RTL.fr.
